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Priority claim · PC-027
Initial sequential exponent estimate alpha_sequential approximately 2.24 - formally retracted
The claim - verbatim
Michael Darius Eastwood reported, and then formally retracted, an initial sequential-recursion scaling estimate of alpha_sequential of approximately 2.24 (95 per cent CI 1.5 to 3.0) that appeared in Paper II on 22 January 2026 (OSF DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB); the paper text itself records that the figure was drawn from Gemini 3 Flash and 'does not replicate across architectures', and the estimate is now retracted in the canonical claims register. This is a self-correction of record, not a current finding.
Anchored evidence
- research/papers/paper-ii-experimental-validation.html (verbatim: 'alpha_{sequential} approx 2.24 (95% CI: 1.5-3.0)' and 'alpha approx 2.24 (quadratic) does not replicate across architectures. Only Gemini 3 Flash...')
- CANONICAL_CLAIMS_REGISTER.md ('alpha_sequential: Early 2.24 estimate RETRACTED; robust v13 approx 0.49 (sub-linear); alpha > 1 is an open pre-registered prediction'; interval [-1.3, 2.9])
- priority-claims.html (status 'speculative - 2.24 retracted')
Limits and citation guidance - what this claim does not support, and how to cite it
Limits. Never cite 2.24 as a current finding; always pair with the retraction. Correct framing: Eastwood published, then self-corrected, an early single-model estimate - a positive integrity signal, not a novelty claim.
Verify this claim. The source register is /research/priority.json (this claim is PC-027 in claimsLedger[]). The public ledger view is /priority-claims. The verification method for redacted evidence/... pointers is documented at /research/evidence-spine.html. Available public programme records can be inspected at osf.io/6c5xb (DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB). Their availability is not a declaration that every claim has been independently verified.
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